The Accurate Statistics Behind Trump Jr’s “Skittles” Tweet

Monday afternoon, Donald Trump Jr. did something all campaigners do: he used an analogy to make a point. The son of GOP candidate Donald Trump used an easy to understand metaphor to visualize the risks associated with floods of refugees entering the United States from terrorist-infiltrated countries without a proper vetting process in place.

refugee-skittles-graphicHowever, instead of focusing on the message conveyed in the tweet – that unvetted refugees pose a threat to the safety of American citizens – open border proponents and the mainstream media instead focused on the metaphor. USA Today condemned the “Skittles” comparison by posting a story about a young refugee who wanted to become a pilot. The Washington Post joined the fray as well, countering the tweet by promoting a skewed report by the libertarian Cato Institute, a think-tank that promotes open borders.

As the metaphor suggests, the majority of refugees are likely harmless, not unlike the popular rainbow-colored candy. But the “poisoned skittles” – terrorists and criminals who maliciously insert themselves into the mass of incoming refugees – pose a much higher threat to the average American citizen than the one in 3.64 billion chance The Washington Post wants you to believe. In Germany last year, refugees were responsible for 1,688 “cases of sexual offence,” including more than 450 rapes. Assaults, robbery and other “offences against personal freedom” totaled 36,010. There were also 85,035 charges of misdemeanor theft attributable to refugees.

Germany housed approximately 1.1 million refugees and asylees in 2015. So by these numbers, approximately 3.4 percent committed a major crime that severely injured another person. If you include the lesser charges of theft, that total comes out to 11.2 percent. In total, these stats indicate that nearly one in 750 Germans were impacted by crimes committed by a refugee.

With 3.4 percent of refugees to Germany committing felonious crimes, Trump Jr’s analogous concern is accurate. Americans have to decide if such a ratio is a risk they are willing to accept. Currently, the federal government is not properly vetting most refugees, so the criminals are not being separated from the other migrants. But even if officials decided vetting was a priority, as it should be, United States Citizenship and Immigration Services has insufficient access to the necessary information and documents needed to complete thorough background checks.

Open-border proponents and their media lackeys understand these statistics, which is why they attack the presentation of the problem and ignore the message. Germany’s unchecked refugee system is what the current administration wants to implement in the United States, so they want American citizens to be blinded to the risks associated with such a policy.

avatar About Spencer Raley

Spencer joined FAIR in 2015. He conducts research, and writes content for FAIR’s publications and website. He brings previous experience in state politics, gubernatorial and district campaigns, and D.C. political non-profits. Spencer holds a B.A. in Government from the University of Texas at Austin.

Comments

  1. avatar R. Swanson says:

    Instead of focusing on the message? I’m pretty sure that the message was a statistic, which was obviously irrationally inflated. FAIR, you are on the wrong side.

    • avatar Leland says:

      It says “3.4% of refugees to Germany” committed “felonious crimes”. Not enough for you? And before you say our citizens commit crimes, these people coming are supposedly thoroughly vetted.

  2. avatar Dean says:

    On September 11, 2001, 19 militants associated with the Islamic extremist group al-Qaeda hijacked four airliners and carried out suicide attacks against targets in the United States. Two of the planes were flown into the towers of the World Trade Center in New York City, a third plane hit the Pentagon just outside Washington, D.C., and the fourth plane crashed in a field in Pennsylvania. Often referred to as 9/11, the attacks resulted in extensive death and destruction, triggering major U.S. initiatives to combat terrorism and defining the presidency of George W. Bush. Over 3,000 people were killed during the attacks in New York City and Washington, D.C., including more than 400 police officers and firefighters.

    It doesn’t take large numbers of terrorists to cause a great deal of damage and loss of life. And keep in mind that illegal immigrants aren’t vetted at all. Can you tell the difference between an Iranian or Syrian and a Guatemalan or Venezuelan?

    • avatar Amy says:

      The USA Today really mentioned a refugee who wanted to become a pilot, and they didn’t make connection to 911 ??? That was the very first thing I thought if when I read this. The real kicker is, we just had the 15th anniversary of 911. No wonder mainstream media is on the decline, smh.

    • avatar Cici says:

      Good point, Dean, about distinguishing one person from another, in terms of national origin. Many people I know would consider that racist. Yet, I, as a fairly non-descript white woman, have been mistaken for certain other white women by people of other ethnic groups. Should I get huffy and call them racists? I think not.

  3. avatar Leland says:

    If you want a great example of how this country, and in particular this administration, will go to ignore Islamic extremism, look no further than Major Nidal Hassan and the Fort Hood shootings in November 2009 which left 13 dead. Hassan had been giving what were supposed to be medical lectures but he used them to say the Koran was superior to the US constitution and that non believers would go to hell, and other inflammatory statements.

    Nothing was done about this in spite of the fact others had reported him to superiors. It was later revealed he had been exchanging e-mails with Anwar al-Awlaki, a radical imam who had moved to Yemen and was making videos urging Muslims to kill American troops. He was later killed by a drone strike. Hassan’s excuse for these messages was he was seeking advice on how to counsel Muslim soldiers. Advice from a terrorists?

    I was watching part of a Trump speech a few days ago and he listed terror attacks in this country and abroad. It was quite a lengthy list and very effective. Hillary of course insists this is all coincidence and you’re a bigot if you say otherwise.

  4. Who in Their Right Mind Would Grab a Handful????

    Obama, Merkle [etc] and their NWO idiot minions….welcome to Brexit in America!!!

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